Projecting the 2021 season based on a strange 2020

Projected ladder for 2021, accounting for 1. Changed length of season. 2. Pythagorean Expectations (underlying team strength) in 2020; 3. Strength of Schedule in 2021; and, 4. Projected onfield list quality.

Prorated wins and Pythagorean expected wins from 2019 are adjusted for the 22 game season after a 17 game 2020.
Draw impact = Effects of an uneven draw after the even fixture of 2020
Player model projects 2-year average Player Approximate Value, accounting for list changes, player age curves, and modelled player availability.
Table: ABC Source: AFLtables, HPNFooty.com Get the data