Under normal game conditions, passing very much remains king

EPA per pass and per rush (adjusted relative to an average offensive play) across the NFL by season, 1999-2023, in "neutral" game situations*

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* These include: Early downs (1-2), 10 yards to go or fewer, between the 20-yard-lines, with the margin within a TD, in quarters 1-3.

Chart: Neil PaineSource: nflfastRGet the dataCreated with Datawrapper