Probability of El Niño or La Niña
Rolling three-month average; February to October 2023; Forecast as of Jan. 23, 2023
La Niña
Neutral
El Niño
Line chart showing the probability of an El Niño, La Niña or neutral in 2023 according to NOAA. The organization forecasts that El Niño will return in the second half of 2023.
