Electorates with the largest difference between actual Coalition 2PP vote (%) and predicted vote (%) based on socio-demographic characteristics of electorate, 2016
| Electorate | Herbert |
|---|---|
| Coalition vote (%) | 50.0% |
| Predicted vote (%) | 35.8 |
| Won by | Labor |
| Electorate | Leichhardt |
| Coalition vote (%) | 54.0% |
| Predicted vote (%) | 40.0 |
| Won by | Coalition |
| Electorate | Wentworth |
| Coalition vote (%) | 67.8% |
| Predicted vote (%) | 55.8 |
| Won by | Coalition |
| Electorate | Kingsford Smith |
| Coalition vote (%) | 41.4% |
| Predicted vote (%) | 52.7 |
| Won by | Labor |
| Electorate | Barton |
| Coalition vote (%) | 41.7% |
| Predicted vote (%) | 30.7 |
| Won by | Labor |
| Electorate | Hunter |
| Coalition vote (%) | 37.5% |
| Predicted vote (%) | 48.1 |
| Won by | Labor |
| Electorate | Fremantle |
| Coalition vote (%) | 42.5% |
| Predicted vote (%) | 52.6 |
| Won by | Labor |
| Electorate | Gippsland |
| Coalition vote (%) | 68.4% |
| Predicted vote (%) | 58.4 |
| Won by | Coalition |
| Electorate | Casey |
| Coalition vote (%) | 56.1% |
| Predicted vote (%) | 46.7 |
| Won by | Coalition |
| Electorate | Wannon |
| Coalition vote (%) | 59.0% |
| Predicted vote (%) | 68.0 |
| Won by | Coalition |
| Electorate | Coalition vote (%) | Predicted vote (%) | Won by |
|---|---|---|---|
| Herbert | 50.0% | 35.8 | Labor |
| Leichhardt | 54.0% | 40.0 | Coalition |
| Wentworth | 67.8% | 55.8 | Coalition |
| Kingsford Smith | 41.4% | 52.7 | Labor |
| Barton | 41.7% | 30.7 | Labor |
| Hunter | 37.5% | 48.1 | Labor |
| Fremantle | 42.5% | 52.6 | Labor |
| Gippsland | 68.4% | 58.4 | Coalition |
| Casey | 56.1% | 46.7 | Coalition |
| Wannon | 59.0% | 68.0 | Coalition |
