'Blue Wall' seats in full and scenarios (Labour gains only)

For each scenario, where swing generated > swing needed = Lab gain. Swing generated: UNS (uniform national swing) in different Con to Lab scenarios PLUS local Labour overperformance from 2019. Labour OP: the percentage points Labour overperformed the national Lab to Con swing in 2017 and Con to Lab swing in 2019.

Labour or the Lib Dems have overperformed in all these seats in both 2017 and 2019.
Table: @SteveAkehurst Get the data