OECD: War could lead to sharp decline in cereal exports

% change in world cereal exports in 2022 under two scenarios published by the OECD in the Economic Outlook, Interim Report March 2022:

"Mild scenario”: recession in Russia and Ukraine in 2022, 20% less harvested area in Ukraine and export problems in both countries. “No Ukrainian exports”: Assumes in addition to the above that cereal exports from Ukraine are zero in 2022.
Source: OECD Economic Outlook Interim Report March 2022 Get the data