Change in Voter Turnout from 2022 to 2026, by Nonwhite Share of Population and by Voting Rights Act Coverage

Lighter lines indicate confidence intervals around the estimates.

Covered under Section 5 of the Voting Rights Act
━━━━ Yes     ━━━━ No

Note: Turnout in 2022 and 2026 come from highest ballot counts among gubernatorial, U.S. House, and U.S. Senate contests. Counties weighted by logged population. Smoothed using a loess function. Includes counties that had reported at least 95% of their estimated ballots as of 3 p.m. ET on November 6, 2026.
Source: The New York Times, U.S. Census Bureau American Community Survey