A More Infectious Virus Could Lead to Many More Deaths

Simplified, hypothetical scenario showing the number of new deaths every six days from three different virus strains, assuming each strain started from 10,000 infections

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Notes: The line for the original strain assumes a fatality risk of 0.8% and that each infected person transmits the virus to 1.1 other people on average.

Source: Adam Kucharski, Associate Professor, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine.