The Conflict Penalty: How Violence Stalls Post-Disaster Recovery

While a household in a low-conflict area might recover from a shock in under a decade, the presence of severe violence paralyzes coping mechanisms. In regions with high conflict intensity, the recovery timeline stretches by 15 to over 20 additional years, transforming a temporary shock into a lifetime of chronic hardship.

Household recovery durations are estimated using the Unbreakable microsimulation model. Averages aggregate sub-national variations; specific regional timelines, such as Borno State's estimated 42-year recovery, represent localized extremes.
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