White, noncollege voters were the most pro-Republican voters in 2016

The percentage-point margin of Democratic minus Republican votes in the 2016 presidential election, by race/ethnicity and education level

Source: Authors' analysis of States of Change data and projections. See U.S. Census Bureau "Current Population Survey, November 2016," available at https://www.census.gov/programs-surveys/cps/data.html (last accessed August 2020); U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey, 2014–2018," available at https://www.census.gov/programs-surveys/acs/data.html (last accessed August 2020); American National Election Studies, "2016 Time Series Study," available at https://electionstudies.org/data-center/ (last accessed August 2020); Cooperative Congressional Election Survey, "CCES 2016 Data/Guide," available at https://cces.gov.harvard.edu/data (last accessed August 2020); U.S. Election Atlas, "2016 Presidential General Election Results," available at https://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/ (last accessed August 2020).