GOP's Texas gerrymander doesn't seem bulletproof

The 2024 presidential margin and the average polling margin for three 2026 House races in Texas

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No race has received more than two polls since May 26, the date of Texas' runoff elections, so polling results should be interpreted with caution. Furthermore, all three races with polling include partisan surveys: TX-15 has one poll from a Democratic group, while TX-28 and TX-34 both have surveys from the Republican nominee in the race.

Chart: Andrew ManganSource: Polls