Week 1 versus the future

EPA value added versus an average starter for NFL QBs in Week 1 versus the rest of the season, for quarterbacks with at least 7 future games as a team's primary QB that season, 1970-2024

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EPA values are estimated via a boxscore regression for seasons before 2006.

Chart: Neil PaineSource: Pro-Football-ReferenceGet the dataCreated with Datawrapper