YouGov MRP: Reform UK comes second in 36 constituencies, but isn't close to winning any of them
If there were a general election held tomorrow, which party would you vote for? Estimated seat projections based on modelled responses from 18,761 British adults
Reform
UK
Labour
Conservative
Lib
Dem
Green
Plaid
Others
Seats in which Reform UK gains the second largest share of the vote
Barnsley North
0
0
8
6
11
48
27
Hartlepool
0
0
6
6
13
48
27
Doncaster North
0
0
7
6
14
49
25
Barnsley South
0
0
10
4
10
51
25
Pontefract, Castleford and Knottingley
2
0
7
10
15
43
24
Normanton and Hemsworth
0
0
8
7
14
47
23
Ashfield
8
0
10
6
18
35
23
Rawmarsh and Conisbrough
0
0
6
5
15
51
23
Kingston upon Hull East
0
0
9
10
14
45
22
Easington
0
0
7
5
12
54
22
Rotherham
0
0
8
7
14
48
22
Bolsover
0
0
6
6
20
46
21
Doncaster Central
1
0
9
7
17
45
21
Houghton and Sunderland South
0
0
9
10
15
46
20
Kingston upon Hull West and Haltemprice
0
0
6
12
18
44
20
Washington and Gateshead South
0
0
9
7
16
50
19
Makerfield
0
0
7
6
15
53
19
Sheffield South East
0
0
7
6
16
53
19
Stockton North
0
0
7
5
16
53
18
Blaenau Gwent and Rhymney
0
11
3
5
11
51
18
Wigan
0
0
9
6
15
53
18
South Shields
7
0
15
5
13
42
18
Jarrow and Gateshead East
8
0
9
6
11
49
18
Sunderland Central
0
0
8
7
17
50
17
North Durham
0
0
6
5
16
54
17
Blyth and Ashington
0
0
8
7
15
53
17
Middlesbrough and Thornaby East
0
0
8
5
11
59
17
Kingston upon Hull North and Cottingham
0
0
7
13
15
49
15
St Helens North
0
0
9
5
13
58
15
Aberafan Maesteg
2
12
4
6
13
48
15
St Helens South and Whiston
0
0
9
6
11
61
13
Sheffield Brightside and Hillsborough
0
0
9
6
13
59
13
Ellesmere Port and Bromborough
0
0
7
7
12
61
13
Widnes and Halewood
0
0
6
4
9
70
11
Knowsley
0
0
7
3
5
76
8
Liverpool Walton
0
0
6
3
5
79
7
Seats in which Reform UK does not gain the second largest share of the vote, but which are in the top 20 constituencies for Reform UK vote share