Mauritania Risk Assessment 24-Sept, 2025

This risk assessment evaluates Mauritania’s current fragility using the CARVER and ISO 31000 frameworks. Scores highlight the elevated risks of protest repression, inter-communal grievances, diaspora advocacy, and institutional stagnation. Each risk factor was scored across six CARVER dimensions, then converted into Likelihood and Impact values to calculate overall Risk Levels. The results show four risks in the High zone and four in the Moderate zone, underscoring systemic fragility amid ongoing protests, diaspora mobilization, and human rights concerns.