Coalition 2PP and Independent 2CP in select seats, 2025 federal election

In seats where an independent made the three-candidate-preferred count and Labor was higher-polling than the Coalition, how does the Coalition 2PP compare to the Independent 2CP?

Independent 2CP estimated in in Blaxland, based on preference flows from 3CP to 2CP in other seats. All other seats are based on real data.
Chart: Ben RaueGet the dataCreated with Datawrapper