The Dem Early Vote Advantage Tends to Erode

Votes by registered Democrats as a share of two-party early vote, by days to the election

Note: Early votes include mail and absentee ballots, as well as early in-person voting. Lines are based on the 24 states for which we have enough partisan-early-vote data for both elections. The 2026 data is incomplete. We took a snapshot as of 5 p.m. on Nov. 2, but some states will be late to report. The two-party vote includes votes cast by registered Democrats and registered Republicans.
Chart: The Washington SunSource: University of Florida Election Lab