Early vote count vs. final result, 2020-2024: Bluer every year or most years; redder every year or most years; no consistent tilt
Tile map of U.S. states. In 19 states, the early vote count was bluer than the final result every year from 2020 to 2024, including Pennsylvania, Arizona, Florida and Texas. In 9, it was redder every year, including Virginia, Indiana and Tennessee. Thirteen, including Michigan, Wisconsin and North Carolina, had no consistent tilt.