Warwick model, 30 Dec: deaths

Covid deaths in England every day. Grey line shows means of different scenarios, red line shows actual with five-day lag

Severity: 100%   50%   20%   10%  

England only. Assumes Omicron is as severe as Delta and no additional restrictions other than Plan B. Interpolated via scan of Fig S.6 in Short-term Projections based on Early Omicron Variant Dynamics in England. pub. 30 Dec
Chart: The Spectator (qa7uF)Source: The Spectator (qa7uF)Get the dataCreated with Datawrapper