Natural Gas Combined-Cycle Capacity Factors Over Time by Scenario

NREL-Advanced All Clean: 2022 NREL Annual Technology Baseline Advanced Case; NREL-Mid-case: Moderate electrification scenario load growth with IRA/BIL provisions; NREL-Low Oil/Gas Price: Mid-Case but NG prices from EIA 2022 Annual Energy Outlook High Oil and Gas Resource case; NREL-Constrained: Mid-Case with has reduced resources available for renewable development/restricted transmissions; USB 90%: pathway to a 90% clean electricity national grid mix by 2035.
Source: NREL, UC Berkeley