Incapacity benefit caseloads as a share of the working-age population, 1978/79 - 2029/2030
Source: Institute for Government analysis of Department for Work and Pensions, 'Benefit expenditure and caseload tables 2025'; Office for National Statistics, '2022-based national population projections: Migration category variant datasets for Great Britain (summary and machine-readable)'; Office for National Statistics, 'Population estimates for the UK and constituent countries by sex and age; Historical time series' (2024); Office for National Statistics, 'Summary of employment, unemployment and economic inactivity for people below state pension age' (Q1 2025 release).
