Dems would gain small edge if 2026 followed the 2006 to 2022 trend 

Hypothetical seats won by each party in each partisan lean category if the 2026 results matched the shares won by the president and opposition parties from 2006-22

The partisan lean of a seat is based on how much more Democratic or Republican the seat voted than the national popular vote for president. This analysis accounts for newly-drawn maps in California, Texas, Ohio, North Carolina, Missouri, and Utah.
Source: The Downballot, Dave's Redistricting App