Chance of winning the electoral college

PollyVote's presidential election forecasts
Electoral College Winner Electoral Votes

The chart illustrates PollyVote's projected Electoral Vote distribution for the upcoming 2024 U.S. Presidential election

(Please use a modern browser to see the interactive version of this visualization)

Based on combinations of forecasts within and across four component methods: polls, expectations, models, and naive forecasts.

Source: PollyVoteEmbed Created with Datawrapper