2022 French presidential election forecasts

Macron vs. Le Pen (2nd round), experts vs. polls

Expert forecasts are the consensus (i.e., simple average) estimate of five experts. Thanks to Bruno Cautres (Sciences Po), Jean-Sébastien Ferjou (Atlantico), Mathieu Gallard (Ipsos), Bruno Jeanbart (Opinion Way), Nicolas Prissette (Fondamental). Polling data obtained from politico.eu. Data as of January 21, 2022.
Chart: Andreas Graefe Source: PollyVote