Projected population under the three projection scenarios

2022 - 2057

The largest change is projected for the high net migration scenario, M1, where annual net migration starts at +75,000 persons in 2022 and decreases incrementally to +45,000 per annum by 2027 and remains at this level to 2057. Under this scenario the population is projected to grow by 1,821,478 (+35.1%) over the 35 year period to 2057, to 7.01 million people.

The more moderate net migration M2 scenario, where annual net migration starts at +75,000 persons in 2022 and decreases incrementally to +30,000 persons per annum by 2032 and remains at this level to 2057, shows a population increase of 1,262,297 (+24.4%) over the period to 6.45 million people.

Under the low net migration scenario, M3, where annual net migration starts at +75,000 persons in 2022 and decreases incrementally to +10,000 persons per annum by 2032 and remains at this level to 2057, the population is only expected to increase by 549,685 (+10.6%) to 5.73 million people in 2057.
Chart: IRISH TIMES GRAPHICSSource: CSOCreated with Datawrapper