Trump approvers are more likely to falsely claim they voted for him

How people who didn't vote for Trump in 2024 now claim to have voted, split by approval

Data taken from The Argument's polls of national registered voters between August 2025 and February 2026. "How they actually voted" is defined as the the self-reported recorded vote in Verasight's panel profile, collected immediately after the 2024 election, or immediately after joining the Verasight voter pool for post-election recruits. "How they claim they voted" is the recalled vote claimed by participants during the survey. Total N=12,180
Chart: Lakshya Jain/The ArgumentSource: The Argument