The categories of College Football Playoff contenders

Chance of making the College Football Playoff (since 2014) or ranking in the Top 4 of the pre-bowl AP Poll (1998-2013) for Division I FBS teams

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Note: Independent Notre Dame is considered a "power conference" team, and a power conference champion when it finishes a season with either 0 or 1 loss.

Chart: Neil Paine/The MessengerSource: Sports-Reference/CFB, FiveThirtyEightCreated with Datawrapper