Soy biodiesel induced more cropland expansion than projected

Net U.S. cropland expansion per billion gallons of soy-based diesel production expansion

CARB (2015) estimates 0.736, 0.876, and 1.022 million acres conversion of cropland-pasture per billion gallons in the minimum, average, and maximum scenarios. Other GTAP-BIO modeling estimates conversion of cropland-pasture.This is not shown above as the modeling treated it as a subcategory of cropland. However, USDA has reclassified most cropland-pasture as grassland, pasture, or rangeland and its conversion would generally increase emissions.
Chart: The Breakthrough InstituteGet the dataCreated with Datawrapper