FIGURE 2
Macroeconomic Impact of the One Big Beautiful Bill Act,
as passed by the House

Percent change in GDP (calendar year)

Source: Tax Policy Center macroeconomic models.
Notes: Calendar year. Estimates compare economic outcomes under the law currently in place as of January 1, 2025 to a policy adopts all tax and spending provisions of H.R.1, the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, as passed by the House.
For more information on TPC's baseline definitions, see http://www.taxpolicycenter.org/taxtopics/Baseline-Definitions.cfm .
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