Atlas Analytics' Prediction vs. The Fed's Forecasts

Q1 2025 U.S. Headline GDP Growth Rate (%)

Note: Atlas Analytics' forecast from April 5, 2025; Fed Forecasts from April 29, 2025 (Atlanta) and May 2, 2025 (New York). GDP from the Bureau of Economic Analysis as of June 26, 2025 and it is the final number.
Chart: Jake SchneiderSource: Atlanta Fed, New York Fed, BEA, FRED, USGS, NASA, Atlas AnalyticsGet the dataDownload imageCreated with Datawrapper