BOING Model - 2 October 2025

How likely are each team to finish in each position

Thistle win the league in 9.6% of simulations.

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n=100,000 simulations. Based on Biased Outcome Indicators of Non-played Games (BOING), a Monte Carlo simulation. Model is slightly weighted towards form in last 5 games. St. Johnstone win the league in 90% of simulations

Chart: JagalyticsSource: MeDownload imageCreated with Datawrapper