Table B2: Estimates for Number of AI Chips Diverted in 2024 and 2025
Source: Erich Grunewald and Tim Fist, “Countering AI Chip Smuggling Has Become a National Security Priority,” (Center for a New American Security, June 2025), https://www.cnas.org/publications/reports/countering-ai-chip-smuggling-has-become-a-national-security-priority; Isabel Juniewicz, “Diversion and resale: estimating compute smuggling to China,” Epoch AI, April 29, 2026, https://epoch.ai/publications/chip-smuggling; Aqib Zakaria, “How Much Compute Does China Have?”, (ChinaTalk, April 2026), https://www.chinatalk.media/p/how-many-chips-does-china-have.
