Where Trump (and Republicans) are losing ground 

How Republican generic ballot numbers compare to Trump's approval numbers and 2024 vote share 

Data taken from The Argument's aggregated national registered voter survey data between August and December, 2025. Subgroup sizes: n=7662 (all voters), n=908 (Black), n=873 (Hispanic), n=313 (Asian), and n=5385 (White). All data shown is two-way margin, comparing the generic congressional vote (with undecideds pushed) to the 2024 two-way recalled vote among those who voted for either major party candidate. All approval is two-way.
Chart: Lakshya Jain/The ArgumentSource: The Argument