Projecting the 2023 season based on 2022

Accounting for underlying team strength (Pythagorean expectations), draw difficulty, and projected onfield list strength

2023 projections based on 23 game season.
Pythagorean expected wins = results adjusted for underlying strength.
Draw impact = Effects of the change in uneven draws in 2022 and 2023 with positive numbers showing an easier draw.
Player model projects Player Approximate Value, accounting for list changes and modelled player availability with average "injury luck".
Table: ABC Source: AFLtables, HPNFooty.com Get the data