Poole's career path has, um, deviated from expectations

Estimated RAPTOR Wins Above Replacement (per 82 scheduled games) by age for Jordan Poole and for historical players who were similar through age 22, 1977-2023

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Comparable players included every retired player since the ABA merger with between 4 and 6 career WAR/82 through age 22, provided they also played at least one season by age 21 and had at least 2 WAR/82 at age 22.

Poole's 2023-24 (age-24) performance assumes he will play to his previous career rate of WAR/82 over the rest of the season.

Chart: Neil Paine/The MessengerSource: Basketball-ReferenceCreated with Datawrapper