Who is favored to win each state?

Chance Harris or Trump will win each state in the 2024 presidential election, with every state shaded by the leading candidate's chance of winning it

Hex map Standard map

(Please use a modern browser to see the interactive version of this visualization)

Note: Nebraska and Maine allocate one electoral vote to the winner of each of their congressional districts. Nebraska has three congressional districts and Maine has two, bringing their total number of electoral votes to five and four respectively.

Updated November 5, 2024Get the data