What the odds and models think about the 2024 MLB season

Composite 2024 win projections for MLB teams based on a weighted average of various forecasts and over/unders

Last updated: Tuesday, March 26, 2024 12:56 PM

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The average column is weighted so that the three statistical categories receive the most collective weight (45%), followed by the Vegas over/under (33%) and regressed Elo (22%).

Chart: Neil PaineSource: Clay Davenport, Baseball Prospectus, FanGraphs, FanDuelCreated with Datawrapper