The 2026 race for the House among registered voters and likely voters defined strictly and loosely
In the elections for U.S. Congress in November, who will you vote for in the district where you live? (% picking the Democratic candidate minus the % picking the Republican candidate)
Note: YouGov / Economist polls define their likely voter models as follows:
• Strict screen: Likely voters are registered voters who have already voted or say they will definitely vote.
• Loose screen: Likely voters are U.S. adult citizens who meet two criteria: (1) They either are registered to vote or both say they will be registered to vote by the November elections and live in states where registration remains an option; and (2) They have already voted or say they definitely or probably will vote.
Responses of "other," "not sure," and "I would not vote" are not shown.
• Strict screen: Likely voters are registered voters who have already voted or say they will definitely vote.
• Loose screen: Likely voters are U.S. adult citizens who meet two criteria: (1) They either are registered to vote or both say they will be registered to vote by the November elections and live in states where registration remains an option; and (2) They have already voted or say they definitely or probably will vote.
Responses of "other," "not sure," and "I would not vote" are not shown.
