YouGov's first MRP of the 2025 Australian election projects modest increase in Coalition's vote

Estimated federal-level vote share from the YouGov Australia MRP model.

* Note: Combined One Nation and UAP vote share in 2022 was 9.1%.
YouGov 2022
YouGov conducted 40,689 interviews with Australians between 22 January and 12 February 2025. From this data, we used MRP to model 8,732 respondents to project the election. Get the data