The five seats Democrats are targeting

The congressional districts currently represented by House Republicans in California by their 2024 presidential vote margin, compared with the proposed district and its share of the incumbent's current district population and proposed 2024 vote margin

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Data based on analysis of proposed congressional map released on Aug. 15, 2025. Margins for the proposed 5th and 22nd districts include approximated data for Madera County.

Source: California State Assembly, UC Berkeley Statewide Database, The Downballot