One good draft doesn't always always deserve another

AV surplus value for a team's draft picks in Year Y vs. Year Y+1, 2014-2023

Draft surplus value was determined by looking at a team's actual value in a player's first 5 seasons (or less, for more recent years) compared with the expected value of the draft slot at which they were picked.
Chart: Neil PaineSource: Pro-Football-ReferenceCreated with Datawrapper