BOING Model Simulation

Using data up to and including 13 September 2025

Heatmap showing likely outcome of the league based on current form suggests that Thistle win the league in roughly 10% of simulations

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Biased Outcomes Indications for Non-Played Games (BOING) model is a Monte Carlo simulator, which plays the remaining games of the season 100,000 times using a combination of the whole season and recent form to inform the likely outcomes. Very early days, as teams have only played 5 or 6 games in the league. n=100,000 simulations

Chart: JagalyticsSource: JagalyticsDownload imageCreated with Datawrapper