Misery vs last decade: Relative metric for protest risk

Misery index (inflation plus unemployment): post-2010 peak minus 2022 forecast (pp)

Negative number means 2022 is new peak for misery, positive means 2022 below prior peak

Lebanon (negative 98) and Zimbabwe (positive 434) excluded from this chart
Chart: Hasnain Malik Source: IMF, WB, ILO, Trading Economics, Tellimer Research Get the data