Cumulative fiscal impact of a 5 percentage point increase in FMAP, FYs 2022-2023 (in millions of dollars)

NOTES: Figures may not sum to total due to rounding. *Total excludes OK and MO because these states were scheduled to implement the expansion in July 2021 and thus do not face new state costs under the policy change. **We do not calculate new state costs for expansion for Wisconsin because the state currently provides Medicaid eligibility to childless adults earning up to the poverty level under a state waiver, at the regular FMAP; thus, even with additional costs due to covering currently marketplace-eligible people, the state would likely see fiscal gain under expansion by moving waiver enrollees from the regular state match to the 90% expansion match.
Source: KFF estimates and analysis Get the data