Dory's live forecasts confidently skillful at every lead hour

Brier skill score by lead time (hours), for the probability that a flight cancels or arrives more than 90 minutes late. Live: September 7 – October 4, 2026. Held-out: May 8 – June 18, 2026.τ (minutes)15 30 60 90 120 180

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Shaded: 95% interval for live skill. Each hour is plotted at its middle. 17 US carriers.

Source: AerologyGet the data