The Likelihood of AI Futures
(Readers who believe these scenarios are likely or very likely)
Growth: AI systems help people in your company complete work faster and better than before, enabling entire processes and workflows to be managed and completed far more effectively.
Transform: Advanced AI systems are introduced right across your organization and are capable of automating entire business functions, leading to workforce transformation and reinvention of your business model.
Constraint: Malfunctions and mistakes by AI systems across the economy cause a loss in confidence, leading your company to slow down adoption as you reassess your plans for AI implementation.
Collapse: A small group of AI labs achieve market dominance with advanced AI systems, limiting access to advanced AI systems for companies like yours and reshaping business dynamics across all knowledge-based sectors.
Transform: Advanced AI systems are introduced right across your organization and are capable of automating entire business functions, leading to workforce transformation and reinvention of your business model.
Constraint: Malfunctions and mistakes by AI systems across the economy cause a loss in confidence, leading your company to slow down adoption as you reassess your plans for AI implementation.
Collapse: A small group of AI labs achieve market dominance with advanced AI systems, limiting access to advanced AI systems for companies like yours and reshaping business dynamics across all knowledge-based sectors.