The slightest turn for Hurricane Ian saved Tampa Bay.

Two days before Ian's arrival, forecasts showed a worst-case scenario for Tampa Bay. Just a few degrees' difference meant the region was spared, and the Category 4 storm instead hit Lee County.

The shaded region is the National Hurricane Center's forecast cone, designed to encompass where the center of the storm will go two-thirds of the time.
LANGSTON TAYLOR | Times Source: National Hurricane Center