New poll finds Democrats leading in three gerrymandered districts in Texas

The share of likely voters in three Texas House districts who plan to vote for the Democratic or Republican candidate in their district

Candidate names were used on the survey. Survey conducted Aug. 18-22, 2026, among 700 likely voters in TX-15 and TX-34 and among 600 likely voters in TX-28, with a margin of error of ±3.7 percentage points and ±4.0 points, respectively.
Chart: Andrew ManganSource: Texas Southern University