Democrats lead on the generic ballot—but by less than in 2018

Democrats' average net advantage on the generic congressional ballot ahead of the 2018 and 2026 midterm elections, by days before election

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Data as of July 24, 2026, at 2:01 PM ET. The average is weighted according to each poll's quality, sample size, recency, and partisan lean.

Chart: Andrew ManganSource: Silver Bulletin; FiveThirtyEight