U.S./State National
Popular vote 2.0%
RCP polling average 7.2%(a)
FiveThirtyEight polling average 8.4%(a)
A-rated pollster 8.0%(a)
U.S./State Arizona
Popular vote 2.3%
RCP polling average 0.9%
FiveThirtyEight polling average 2.6%
A-rated pollster 1.0%
U.S./State Colorado
Popular vote 12.9%
RCP polling average NA
FiveThirtyEight polling average 12.5%
A-rated pollster 10.0%
U.S./State Florida
Popular vote -3.4%
RCP polling average 0.9%(a,b)
FiveThirtyEight polling average 2.5%(a,b)
A-rated pollster 3.0%(a,b)
U.S./State Georgia
Popular vote -0.3%
RCP polling average -1.0%
FiveThirtyEight polling average 1.1%
A-rated pollster -1.0%
U.S./State Iowa
Popular vote -8.2%
RCP polling average -2.0%(a)
FiveThirtyEight polling average -1.3%(a)
A-rated pollster -7.0%
U.S./State Maine
Popular vote 8.7%
RCP polling average NA
FiveThirtyEight polling average 13.0%(a)
A-rated pollster 11.0%
U.S./State Michigan
Popular vote 2.6%
RCP polling average 4.2%
FiveThirtyEight polling average 8.0%(a)
A-rated pollster 7.0%(a)
U.S./State Minnesota
Popular vote 7.1%
RCP polling average 4.3%
FiveThirtyEight polling average 9.1%
A-rated pollster 5.0%
U.S./State Nevada
Popular vote 0.9%
RCP polling average 2.4%
FiveThirtyEight polling average 5.3%(a)
A-rated pollster 1.0%
U.S./State New Hampshire
Popular vote 7.2%
RCP polling average NA
FiveThirtyEight polling average 11.1%(a)
A-rated pollster 10.0%
U.S./State North Carolina
Popular vote -1.4%
RCP polling average -0.2%
FiveThirtyEight polling average 1.8%
A-rated pollster 0.0%
U.S./State Ohio
Popular vote -8.2%
RCP polling average -1.0%(a)
FiveThirtyEight polling average -0.7%(a)
A-rated pollster 1.0%(b)
U.S./State Pennsylvania
Popular vote -1.4%
RCP polling average 1.2%
FiveThirtyEight polling average 4.6%(a)
A-rated pollster 4.0%
U.S./State Virginia
Popular vote 9.4%
RCP polling average NA
FiveThirtyEight polling average 11.8%
A-rated pollster 11.0%
U.S./State Wisconsin
Popular vote 0.6%
RCP polling average 6.7%(a)
FiveThirtyEight polling average 8.4%(a)
A-rated pollster 11.0%(a)
U.S./State Popular vote RCP polling average FiveThirtyEight polling average A-rated pollster
National2.0%7.2%(a)8.4%(a)8.0%(a)
Arizona2.3%0.9%2.6%1.0%
Colorado12.9%NA12.5%10.0%
Florida-3.4%0.9%(a,b)2.5%(a,b)3.0%(a,b)
Georgia-0.3%-1.0%1.1%-1.0%
Iowa-8.2%-2.0%(a)-1.3%(a)-7.0%
Maine8.7%NA13.0%(a)11.0%
Michigan2.6%4.2%8.0%(a)7.0%(a)
Minnesota7.1%4.3%9.1%5.0%
Nevada0.9%2.4%5.3%(a)1.0%
New Hampshire7.2%NA11.1%(a)10.0%
North Carolina-1.4%-0.2%1.8%0.0%
Ohio-8.2%-1.0%(a)-0.7%(a)1.0%(b)
Pennsylvania-1.4%1.2%4.6%(a)4.0%
Virginia9.4%NA11.8%11.0%
Wisconsin0.6%6.7%(a)8.4%(a)11.0%(a)