The Chances of a Candidate Winning Their Election, According to Allan Lichtman’s Keys

Based on the overall significance value of each key (Tab 2).

(Please use a modern browser to see the interactive version of this visualization)

The candidates shown on the left are the winners of the national popular contest, they aren't necessarily Electoral College winners.

Chart: The Data TimesSource: The Data Times & Allan LichtmanGet the dataCreated with Datawrapper